Covid19 Speculation
I am not an authority. Anyone who does speak with authority on this subject is lying. It is too new. The federal government just released a projection of 200,000 deaths. This is close to my own calculation. Given the federal governments history of guidance and information, perhaps I’m wrong. I’m getting the same order of magnitude without an engineering degree. The federal government did not show its work. Presumptuous to call this a model, start with a 330,000,000 population in the United States. How many people will be exposed? I am impressed with social distancing. Even if only half the states are sheltering in place, those states seem sincere. In Illinois, Pritzker has been good. It is difficult to make decisions with insufficient information. I doubt I would have his courage. Let’s say half the population becomes exposed. This gives 165 million. Of those exposed how many become infected? I’m hesitant to discuss the virus structure. My impre...